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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

disputes: 2 rounds
lifecycle: P→D→P→D
phase: in-dispute
volume: $48.7M
bond: $500
condition id: 0x8183a221622f2d5d2b46da86c80d55a61f43d35829589e03c1efae9d072638c5

NO lost, 13.2M tokens went to zero

top 5 of 100 holders held 42% (5.5M of 13.2M tokens, from balances)

YES won, 19.0M tokens rebuilt from trades

top 5 of 20 wallets bought 75% (14.2M of 19.0M tokens, from cumulative buys)

they paid $18.0M and redeemed $19.0M (20 wallets read)

Balances show almost none of this. These wallets redeemed and left the book.

who bought the side that won

wallet	bought	held	paid	avg	gain
NotBakerMcKenzie 0xd99f3bec8e060ada0aef0c4057695dd5bc22fcdc	4.5M	4.4M	$4.4M	1.00	$3K
qmarktea2 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5	4.0M	4.0M	$4.0M	1.00	$4K
poorsob 0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70ae	3.1M	3.1M	$3.1M	1.00	$3K
alienreal 0x72e4daa9b93fd3786f231c3b73c1bdbc4c48740a	1.9M	452K	$37K	0.08	$416K
CAR-GangVersion 0x02e7f29f3e612a95a9ccca7131ce7dd5d56b59e5	1.7M	1.7M	$1.7M	1.00	$2K
denizz 0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73	1.3M	46K	$-283K	-6.09	$329K
033033033 0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b	1.0M	1.0M	$1.0M	1.00	$1K
0x6ede3d5fa80c7035e151229d3ce8f303950f97a2	777K	777K	$775K	1.00	$2K
0x665dcbe83796b5010279f0a38b197d65e0aaaf35	699K	699K	$699K	1.00	$699
scout 0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3	503K	451K	$447K	0.99	$4K
xyxyxyxyxyx 0x86418596425efd3bee355722e5fdad8154ca94ce	502K	502K	$501K	1.00	$502
0x7750f616763150cd5388abdd2ce3700b8d7e5226	497K	497K	$496K	1.00	$802
Car 0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b	356K	135K	$121K	0.90	$14K
LordofPM 0xad7f7e2f4418fe358606164eccc0d0126aa467dc	350K	350K	$350K	1.00	$350
wan123 0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b	323K	58K	$-72K	-1.24	$129K
ArmageddonRewardsBilly 0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418	283K	112K	$111K	0.99	$2K
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 0x95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04	277K	47K	$47K	0.99	$702
ScottyNooo 0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35	246K	244K	$189K	0.78	$54K
SeniorLaghetto 0x05ab749a8554fb7c852238c271d384bae6798145	210K	180K	$147K	0.81	$33K
HorribleWork 0x78048aa26ac1967566b8ed11910b529e5f2d7025	190K	190K	$190K	1.00	$190

Every token held on the winning side redeems for exactly one dollar, so the gain is arithmetic rather than an estimate. A name is chosen by the account holder and never replaces the address it sits beside.

what this reading does not cover

this build does not read the oracle, so proposer and disputer are unread
holder list truncated at 100, shares are of what was returned
trade index coverage is unknown: trade index head could not be read: 429 Too Many Requests; the winning side below came from the trade log
winning side is from the trade log and omits trades under $500
more winning positions were rebuilt than were requested

check it yourself

recuse market iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by-april-7-346
recuse winners iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by-april-7-346 --json

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