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Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

disputes: 2 rounds
lifecycle: P→D→P→D
phase: in-dispute
volume: $55.1M
bond: $500
condition id: 0x478dfc905dd9f44631e7b3a2a76f8aaf5680bc77fd17fe79179664b0ca819a18

NO lost, 5.2M tokens went to zero

top 5 of 100 holders held 27% (1.4M of 5.2M tokens, from balances)

YES won, 9.6M tokens rebuilt from trades

top 5 of 20 wallets bought 65% (6.2M of 9.6M tokens, from cumulative buys)

they paid $9.3M and redeemed $9.6M (20 wallets read)

Balances show almost none of this. These wallets redeemed and left the book.

who bought the side that won

wallet	bought	held	paid	avg	gain
poorsob 0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70ae	2.5M	2.5M	$2.5M	1.00	$5K
033033033 0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b	1.6M	1.6M	$1.6M	1.00	$2K
SeniorLaghetto 0x05ab749a8554fb7c852238c271d384bae6798145	1.0M	265K	$159K	0.60	$106K
testfinney 0x59cd67a7a9bbede54516474bed6f3bf6069e92d2	797K	785K	$782K	1.00	$3K
onekey09 0x45b39e1f71e47fd4afe4b988ffad690b644735bc	736K	736K	$735K	1.00	$736
oijafowejfoawejif 0x9fefb57d21e15950df03246cde50ddbc521b361b	653K	653K	$587K	0.90	$66K
qmarktea2 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5	650K	650K	$649K	1.00	$950
chungguskhan 0x7744bfd749a70020d16a1fcbac1d064761c9999e	593K	249K	$217K	0.87	$32K
SaddamHusseinHidingSpot 0x4d2c9534213103e9d64e8d05c8f3eb92e1bc063b	501K	501K	$500K	1.00	$1K
JAHODA 0x0e5bd76779e74304d08e759072abf126d87da593	484K	234K	$234K	1.00	$772
tg-fxmcalls 0xa643e03c316e1e79c38194334bfb826658ddd43d	385K	143K	$139K	0.97	$4K
Nexuus 0xce5bec63b40392845a9a504915f607c8e03a047a	342K	294K	$293K	1.00	$539
ArmageddonRewardsBilly 0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418	328K	89K	$89K	1.00	$188
jslxyf 0xbbf32e0e8e69209ce7b0b1452e759a057bb65ebb	314K	0	$-82K	-8950692.49	$82K
Anjun 0x43372356634781eea88d61bbdd7824cdce958882	301K	201K	$200K	1.00	$401
JigglyPuff 0x334932d9cb8effcb325fcb898e045feffc92c0b8	274K	14K	$11K	0.82	$2K
ScottyNooo 0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35	271K	271K	$270K	0.99	$1K
Ieisjhdhejwjwk 0xfe49d6a53323e8013edad6efd1b624ba76beecb6	192K	192K	$186K	0.97	$6K
spectral-mango-protocol 0x29d7667d5559f9d1c32fcefd649fb4c3bc814c91	190K	190K	$190K	1.00	$190
bozotys 0xa160602da183fdce0122bc927e7fdb9d36c67b21	185K	74K	$61K	0.83	$13K

Every token held on the winning side redeems for exactly one dollar, so the gain is arithmetic rather than an estimate. A name is chosen by the account holder and never replaces the address it sits beside.

what this reading does not cover

this build does not read the oracle, so proposer and disputer are unread
holder list truncated at 100, shares are of what was returned
trade index coverage is unknown: trade index head could not be read: 429 Too Many Requests; the winning side below came from the trade log
winning side is from the trade log and omits trades under $500
more winning positions were rebuilt than were requested

check it yourself

recuse market lighter-market-cap-fdv-1b-one-day-after-launch
recuse winners lighter-market-cap-fdv-1b-one-day-after-launch --json

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