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Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

disputes: 2 rounds
lifecycle: P→D→P→D
phase: in-dispute
volume: $56.5M
bond: $500
condition id: 0xa5ac4cdcfff44ddfb0d332d33575f766414465786fb7d4350782db40d5e9da11

YES lost, 5.9M tokens went to zero

top 5 of 100 holders held 50% (3.0M of 5.9M tokens, from balances)

NO won, 6.7M tokens rebuilt from trades

top 5 of 20 wallets bought 52% (3.5M of 6.7M tokens, from cumulative buys)

they paid $5.8M and redeemed $6.7M (20 wallets read)

Balances show almost none of this. These wallets redeemed and left the book.

who bought the side that won

wallet	bought	held	paid	avg	gain
How.Dare.You 0x4bbe10ba5b7f6df147c0dae17b46c44a6e562cf3	1.5M	141K	$88K	0.63	$53K
SwissMiss 0xdbade4c82fb72780a0db9a38f821d8671aba9c95	877K	847K	$645K	0.76	$202K
qmarktea2 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5	838K	838K	$835K	1.00	$3K
Car 0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b	778K	36K	$19K	0.52	$17K
slight- 0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4	765K	765K	$761K	1.00	$4K
SlenderMan 0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876	761K	68K	$53K	0.78	$15K
hopedieslast 0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a	618K	252K	$218K	0.87	$33K
BowlOfPunch 0x889e7f0464c72eb8cda1525ebc12b6aaba9d09e0	618K	500K	$352K	0.70	$148K
11122 0x011f2d377e56119fb09196dffb0948ae55711122	601K	481K	$339K	0.70	$142K
slurpslurpslurp 0x6a9b04663e24b275bf6258a53976eb1a516e4d6c	540K	9K	$-13K	-1.49	$21K
0xCarneyAsada 0xb84304b56cb1e1d492708cd8c3c7796c08211b3f	538K	538K	$537K	1.00	$1K
debased 0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1	530K	479K	$395K	0.83	$83K
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA 0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e	457K	447K	$408K	0.91	$39K
cqs 0xdfe3fedc5c7679be42c3d393e99d4b55247b73c4	435K	82K	$16K	0.20	$66K
033033033 0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b	382K	382K	$381K	1.00	$474
0xae363845352952cdea784f581e9ee99a219c8fb5	366K	156K	$154K	0.99	$2K
ScamWick 0x4d3e59470cd241c4382cabbd2bfd10037cce58c7	325K	317K	$280K	0.88	$37K
Nowhere-Man 0x45580feac3b916a88b7513929e26f86b3adea2b3	323K	863	$-12K	-14.13	$13K
scottilicious 0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e	313K	79K	$53K	0.67	$26K
ScarletRot 0xf743f416caa37f672e8434a9132f681a8fa0ac84	306K	273K	$251K	0.92	$22K

Every token held on the winning side redeems for exactly one dollar, so the gain is arithmetic rather than an estimate. A name is chosen by the account holder and never replaces the address it sits beside.

what this reading does not cover

this build does not read the oracle, so proposer and disputer are unread
holder list truncated at 100, shares are of what was returned
trade index coverage is unknown: trade index head could not be read: 429 Too Many Requests; the winning side below came from the trade log
winning side is from the trade log and omits trades under $500
more winning positions were rebuilt than were requested

check it yourself

recuse market trump-wins-ends-ukraine-war-in-90-days
recuse winners trump-wins-ends-ukraine-war-in-90-days --json

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