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US forces enter Iran by April 30?

disputes: 2 rounds
lifecycle: P→D→P→D
phase: in-dispute
volume: $269.0M
bond: $500
condition id: 0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246

NO lost, 41.4M tokens went to zero

top 5 of 100 holders held 45% (18.5M of 41.4M tokens, from balances)

YES won, 78.3M tokens rebuilt from trades

top 5 of 20 wallets bought 57% (44.9M of 78.3M tokens, from cumulative buys)

they paid $78.1M and redeemed $78.3M (20 wallets read)

Balances show almost none of this. These wallets redeemed and left the book.

who bought the side that won

wallet	bought	held	paid	avg	gain
NotBakerMcKenzie 0xd99f3bec8e060ada0aef0c4057695dd5bc22fcdc	18.6M	18.6M	$18.5M	1.00	$43K
CAR-GangVersion 0x02e7f29f3e612a95a9ccca7131ce7dd5d56b59e5	10.7M	10.7M	$10.7M	1.00	$23K
MoronKiler 0xbebe49168cc3fe33fd9060c6fc83355c3359a8b5	7.1M	5.6M	$5.6M	1.00	$17K
poorsob 0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70ae	7.0M	1.9M	$1.9M	0.99	$17K
ForesightOracle 0x7072dd52161bae614bec6905846a53c9a3a53413	5.8M	5.8M	$5.8M	1.00	$9K
CAR-AyatollahVersion 0x511653479dbf3a4557d8a2359595d429b90dc5b8	5.1M	3.3M	$3.3M	1.00	$8K
qmarktea2 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5	4.2M	4.2M	$4.2M	0.99	$25K
0x2e6fa42ba0dacd6e66d5515f00aadb2e210f6efe	4.2M	4.2M	$4.2M	1.00	$8K
CongMingLabs 0xa8b202e6e9a4c2091b6860f1f5c9e9119bbc9a39	4.2M	2.7M	$2.7M	1.00	$4K
FedWillWin 0xfdc07e182e6f959256295567e450a8727272fa79	3.5M	3.5M	$3.5M	1.00	$14K
METROPOLI 0xf1229f95edb566fa771f442469d18178106f6ea7	3.0M	3.0M	$3.0M	1.00	$5K
debased 0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1	2.5M	1.9M	$1.9M	0.99	$13K
033033033 0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b	2.1M	2.1M	$2.0M	1.00	$6K
0x92648ae0929837da8c4a115e8c22335232a5ae78	1.8M	1.8M	$1.8M	1.00	$4K
Meso- 0xeeb8c48abc6185c22db94d8706b2ab8748cfcab5	1.8M	1.8M	$1.8M	1.00	$4K
HouseOfPol 0x12da0ec25d8fb1b1f4670c4a4025e10c1e9be023	1.7M	1.7M	$1.7M	0.99	$9K
BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate 0xadc2efbf97ce7b25f7a638aabdba196c657cd1c9	1.7M	975K	$972K	1.00	$4K
0x7e6b15577d367a9f885f782b1c6c46556a95e3c5	1.6M	1.6M	$1.6M	1.00	$2K
onekey09 0x45b39e1f71e47fd4afe4b988ffad690b644735bc	1.6M	1.6M	$1.6M	1.00	$2K
Deeyeo 0x78c2894cca670265cf7e0d8682c9f2f8e8d18f4b	1.4M	1.4M	$1.4M	1.00	$3K

Every token held on the winning side redeems for exactly one dollar, so the gain is arithmetic rather than an estimate. A name is chosen by the account holder and never replaces the address it sits beside.

what this reading does not cover

this build does not read the oracle, so proposer and disputer are unread
holder list truncated at 100, shares are of what was returned
trade index coverage is unknown: trade index head could not be read: 429 Too Many Requests; the winning side below came from the trade log
winning side is from the trade log and omits trades under $5000
more winning positions were rebuilt than were requested

check it yourself

recuse market us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899
recuse winners us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899 --json

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