RECUSE

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US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

disputes: 2 rounds
lifecycle: P→D→P→D
phase: in-dispute
volume: $51.1M
bond: $500
condition id: 0x62b0cd598091a179147acbd4616400f804acfdff6f76f029944b481b37cbd45f

YES lost, 7.2M tokens went to zero

top 5 of 100 holders held 40% (2.9M of 7.2M tokens, from balances)

NO won, 10.5M tokens rebuilt from trades

top 5 of 20 wallets bought 54% (5.7M of 10.5M tokens, from cumulative buys)

they paid $10.3M and redeemed $10.5M (20 wallets read)

Balances show almost none of this. These wallets redeemed and left the book.

who bought the side that won

wallet	bought	held	paid	avg	gain
ForesightOracle 0x7072dd52161bae614bec6905846a53c9a3a53413	2.3M	2.3M	$2.3M	1.00	$7K
qmarktea2 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5	1.8M	1.4M	$1.4M	1.00	$5K
tsybka 0xd5ccdf772f795547e299de57f47966e24de8dea4	1.4M	510K	$508K	1.00	$2K
chungguskhan 0x7744bfd749a70020d16a1fcbac1d064761c9999e	1.4M	394K	$392K	1.00	$2K
wkmfa518 0xddff18c9e86262e62af046d818dda0c3de6f52d6	962K	481K	$478K	0.99	$3K
poorsob 0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70ae	730K	730K	$725K	0.99	$5K
ScottyNooo 0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35	727K	727K	$681K	0.94	$46K
ArmageddonRewardsBilly 0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418	560K	330K	$329K	0.99	$2K
manekineko 0x660622caad009a8cc1f38038c0913be658621338	523K	91K	$90K	0.99	$890
tf2 0xa102b434ce441a3119e146f75ed6276ee1a836d9	500K	249K	$249K	1.00	$-655
mangotree 0x58d8248b1d54ce937733eb4b64fd6a2932d07a4c	471K	471K	$468K	0.99	$3K
Tigerofthehood 0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc	466K	456K	$453K	0.99	$3K
BrazilianMemer 0xc4ecc62dcba4b855b6e6de09f4eb39385eb62493	396K	396K	$395K	1.00	$396
tsekinming01 0x69aa9fa621403e3a121b29ad77d32ba9eb5e8847	369K	369K	$366K	0.99	$2K
thegreengem 0xdcd669c506a938bae9269a84b8bd2bdb220484cd	366K	366K	$364K	0.99	$2K
Dropper 0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292	335K	335K	$334K	1.00	$855
Alphax 0xc781e8dd03946230f2f32ab36077998bcb4a59d7	310K	43K	$43K	1.00	$-85
scout 0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3	297K	297K	$296K	1.00	$978
Mlemnonny123 0x124f7b74916d41460dc3dfefa0e5ef4b14783661	292K	292K	$159K	0.54	$133K
SaddamHusseinHidingSpot 0x4d2c9534213103e9d64e8d05c8f3eb92e1bc063b	291K	291K	$290K	1.00	$1K

Every token held on the winning side redeems for exactly one dollar, so the gain is arithmetic rather than an estimate. A name is chosen by the account holder and never replaces the address it sits beside.

what this reading does not cover

this build does not read the oracle, so proposer and disputer are unread
holder list truncated at 100, shares are of what was returned
trade index coverage is unknown: trade index head could not be read: 429 Too Many Requests; the winning side below came from the trade log
winning side is from the trade log and omits trades under $500
more winning positions were rebuilt than were requested

check it yourself

recuse market us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-december-31-391-819-722-945-174-285-817-971-353-859-836-598-255-382-192-983
recuse winners us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-december-31-391-819-722-945-174-285-817-971-353-859-836-598-255-382-192-983 --json

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