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Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

disputes: 2 rounds
lifecycle: P→D→P→D
phase: in-dispute
volume: $80.8M
bond: $500
condition id: 0x32707ae194389a70f25314ec934851daba12d893da616c492ffe8b655b7759a9

YES lost, 11.4M tokens went to zero

top 5 of 100 holders held 36% (4.1M of 11.4M tokens, from balances)

NO won, 24.3M tokens rebuilt from trades

top 5 of 20 wallets bought 55% (13.4M of 24.3M tokens, from cumulative buys)

they paid $24.2M and redeemed $24.3M (20 wallets read)

Balances show almost none of this. These wallets redeemed and left the book.

who bought the side that won

wallet	bought	held	paid	avg	gain
poorsob 0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70ae	6.2M	5.1M	$5.1M	1.00	$13K
qmarktea2 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5	3.6M	3.1M	$3.1M	1.00	$8K
debased 0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1	2.1M	1.6M	$1.6M	1.00	$4K
033033033 0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b	1.9M	1.9M	$1.9M	1.00	$6K
lfg321 0x7e97bd09c2ccc632fb728d91b7c37d8ec5f34d54	1.7M	1.5M	$1.5M	1.00	$5K
aBeanCounter 0xcb32027c1de441f2148b13657c8d2bc36c90c216	1.7M	1.7M	$1.7M	1.00	$5K
JAHODA 0x0e5bd76779e74304d08e759072abf126d87da593	1.4M	620K	$618K	1.00	$2K
Nexuus 0xce5bec63b40392845a9a504915f607c8e03a047a	1.2M	292K	$292K	1.00	$123
rdba 0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8	1.2M	1.2M	$1.2M	1.00	$3K
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 0x95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04	1.1M	1.1M	$1.1M	1.00	$2K
scout 0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3	990K	960K	$957K	1.00	$3K
ScottyNooo 0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35	938K	938K	$933K	1.00	$4K
chungguskhan 0x7744bfd749a70020d16a1fcbac1d064761c9999e	937K	533K	$530K	0.99	$3K
ArmageddonRewardsBilly 0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418	844K	658K	$655K	1.00	$3K
0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f0… 0xe639e41094bbeae18f3e6d1790c17299183f082a	820K	820K	$818K	1.00	$2K
SlenderMan 0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876	716K	270K	$253K	0.94	$17K
aenews2 0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1	676K	675K	$671K	0.99	$4K
VegemiteLover 0x2079cf38a4916c88f873f2b020bef66897248327	673K	673K	$671K	1.00	$2K
Car 0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b	609K	117K	$116K	0.99	$712
AGPamBondi 0x8645b8d48aa02234a2831adadeda774097884632	590K	590K	$588K	1.00	$2K

Every token held on the winning side redeems for exactly one dollar, so the gain is arithmetic rather than an estimate. A name is chosen by the account holder and never replaces the address it sits beside.

what this reading does not cover

this build does not read the oracle, so proposer and disputer are unread
holder list truncated at 100, shares are of what was returned
trade index coverage is unknown: trade index head could not be read: 429 Too Many Requests; the winning side below came from the trade log
winning side is from the trade log and omits trades under $50
more winning positions were rebuilt than were requested

check it yourself

recuse market will-eleven-die-in-stranger-things-season-5
recuse winners will-eleven-die-in-stranger-things-season-5 --json

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