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Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

disputes: 2 rounds
lifecycle: P→D→P→D
phase: in-dispute
volume: $31.1M
bond: $500
condition id: 0xb3dbb0f2e1df15cc820e0cde749eb112bf160994ec53a8ac57dceff9dbe5007e

YES lost, 7.2M tokens went to zero

top 5 of 100 holders held 32% (2.3M of 7.2M tokens, from balances)

NO won, 18.9M tokens rebuilt from trades

top 5 of 20 wallets bought 70% (13.3M of 18.9M tokens, from cumulative buys)

they paid $18.8M and redeemed $18.9M (20 wallets read)

Balances show almost none of this. These wallets redeemed and left the book.

who bought the side that won

wallet	bought	held	paid	avg	gain
poorsob 0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70ae	7.2M	6.8M	$6.7M	1.00	$14K
qmarktea2 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5	2.8M	2.8M	$2.8M	1.00	$3K
033033033 0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b	1.7M	1.7M	$1.7M	1.00	$3K
lfg321 0x7e97bd09c2ccc632fb728d91b7c37d8ec5f34d54	1.2M	1.2M	$1.2M	1.00	$2K
debased 0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1	847K	645K	$643K	1.00	$1K
Anjun 0x43372356634781eea88d61bbdd7824cdce958882	833K	833K	$832K	1.00	$944
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 0x95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04	654K	614K	$613K	1.00	$1K
thegreengem 0xdcd669c506a938bae9269a84b8bd2bdb220484cd	578K	578K	$577K	1.00	$578
KARMASUR 0xf5d92058c977a9c957c6cbfbe3e9a27c83a9be50	490K	0	$-99	-6751.05	$99
chungguskhan 0x7744bfd749a70020d16a1fcbac1d064761c9999e	490K	490K	$489K	1.00	$990
SuperbowlorBust 0x160aa7433e68ef858411323b3cfc8248051bb058	477K	477K	$475K	1.00	$1K
Dripx 0x82a7183f93447d7a8ff5b4bd08eb0d74de266ed8	450K	450K	$449K	1.00	$993
ZhangMuZhi.. 0x84571f1bf97a5c710cbe51daff2dd4556cc887fd	427K	105K	$104K	0.99	$532
WordleAddict 0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b	420K	420K	$420K	1.00	$420
rdba 0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8	419K	419K	$419K	1.00	$419
aenews2 0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1	327K	327K	$327K	1.00	$327
scout 0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3	312K	312K	$311K	1.00	$1K
VvVv 0xa9b44dca52ed35e59ac2a6f49d1203b8155464ed	273K	213K	$212K	1.00	$501
ElvenWisp 0x8750163b355eb4dee5e1a57d595cf840d854e96b	266K	266K	$265K	1.00	$532
howdoiusethisshit 0xe4ccbf5b355b5ae2044c3829fa12703365a8d15b	260K	260K	$260K	1.00	$522

Every token held on the winning side redeems for exactly one dollar, so the gain is arithmetic rather than an estimate. A name is chosen by the account holder and never replaces the address it sits beside.

what this reading does not cover

this build does not read the oracle, so proposer and disputer are unread
holder list truncated at 100, shares are of what was returned
trade index coverage is unknown: trade index head could not be read: 429 Too Many Requests; the winning side below came from the trade log
winning side is from the trade log, all 12392 trades on this market
more winning positions were rebuilt than were requested

check it yourself

recuse market will-melania-say-career-during-ai-talk-on-friday
recuse winners will-melania-say-career-during-ai-talk-on-friday --json

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