RECUSE

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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

disputes: 1 round
lifecycle: P→D→P→R
phase: settled
volume: $76.9M
bond: $500
condition id: 0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa

NO lost, 31.6M tokens went to zero

top 5 of 100 holders held 84% (26.5M of 31.6M tokens, from balances)

YES won, 29.8M tokens rebuilt from trades

top 5 of 20 wallets bought 60% (17.9M of 29.8M tokens, from cumulative buys)

they paid $29.6M and redeemed $29.8M (20 wallets read)

Balances show almost none of this. These wallets redeemed and left the book.

who bought the side that won

wallet	bought	held	paid	avg	gain
CAR-GangVersion 0x02e7f29f3e612a95a9ccca7131ce7dd5d56b59e5	5.0M	5.0M	$5.0M	1.00	$14K
qmarktea2 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5	4.3M	4.3M	$4.3M	1.00	$18K
bobe2.1 0x5bb0de4e97698184ead80c80cb17a26cd6f6814b	3.7M	3.7M	$3.7M	1.00	$8K
NotBakerMcKenzie 0xd99f3bec8e060ada0aef0c4057695dd5bc22fcdc	2.8M	2.8M	$2.7M	0.99	$20K
LordofPM 0xad7f7e2f4418fe358606164eccc0d0126aa467dc	2.2M	2.2M	$2.2M	1.00	$4K
Ryan888 0x20bcdf5a9c7696d1134cba8d77067d2a967fa3a7	1.6M	1.6M	$1.6M	0.99	$9K
0x35eda0e894b48ddd0406c74077738a46b5d08252	1.5M	1.5M	$1.5M	0.99	$10K
timemachinee 0xfb745c232f22c2bb9d2b66a1750c07a738601513	1.4M	1.4M	$1.4M	1.00	$3K
LmaoIloveyou 0x9360b2f34cd705a36393fd96fda05ccaabf3f1c8	1.4M	1.4M	$1.4M	0.99	$8K
books1 0x15a9702792c0035d5ee64ac283f200a8c3805484	1.3M	1.3M	$1.3M	1.00	$3K
hebi007 0x99b2bebd993cbf0c30fff139e9f4e2a655db8eb6	970K	970K	$964K	0.99	$7K
0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f0… 0xe639e41094bbeae18f3e6d1790c17299183f082a	880K	880K	$873K	0.99	$7K
0x0162aea3c64C63a0292d1f8ac8f8D108bdD00… 0x08736da5e4e646e21fb0151a7116066ebef0326f	839K	839K	$835K	0.99	$4K
ArmageddonRewardsBilly 0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418	599K	173K	$158K	0.91	$15K
tsekinming01 0x69aa9fa621403e3a121b29ad77d32ba9eb5e8847	429K	429K	$427K	1.00	$2K
pako 0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338	377K	180K	$161K	0.89	$19K
HH168 0x07046535ff9a910d7343a2c319a3e62234621858	365K	364K	$357K	0.98	$7K
yingxer 0xded8a46ee5fa25b550689176ab7c58c2d44eca0f	364K	364K	$359K	0.98	$6K
TwoEyes 0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a	280K	280K	$270K	0.96	$10K
0xad96914d7762dac84ebbabafe366ae8ff24dd498	261K	261K	$260K	0.99	$2K

Every token held on the winning side redeems for exactly one dollar, so the gain is arithmetic rather than an estimate. A name is chosen by the account holder and never replaces the address it sits beside.

what this reading does not cover

this build does not read the oracle, so proposer and disputer are unread
holder list truncated at 100, shares are of what was returned
trade index coverage is unknown: trade index head could not be read: 429 Too Many Requests; the winning side below came from the trade log
winning side is from the trade log and omits trades under $500
more winning positions were rebuilt than were requested

check it yourself

recuse market will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-april-2026-meeting
recuse winners will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-april-2026-meeting --json

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