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Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

disputes: 2 rounds
lifecycle: P→D→P→D
phase: in-dispute
volume: $90.9M
bond: $500
condition id: 0xac9c6628a5398bb2a06f566854270a9fbc7f2badec4329d3b5fdc1407291c35b

NO lost, 14.1M tokens went to zero

top 5 of 100 holders held 26% (3.7M of 14.1M tokens, from balances)

YES won, 28.2M tokens rebuilt from trades

top 5 of 20 wallets bought 64% (17.9M of 28.2M tokens, from cumulative buys)

they paid $27.7M and redeemed $28.2M (20 wallets read)

Balances show almost none of this. These wallets redeemed and left the book.

who bought the side that won

wallet	bought	held	paid	avg	gain
ForesightOracle 0x7072dd52161bae614bec6905846a53c9a3a53413	7.9M	7.9M	$7.9M	1.00	$23K
poorsob 0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70ae	4.2M	4.2M	$4.2M	1.00	$10K
qmarktea2 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5	2.5M	2.5M	$2.5M	1.00	$6K
alliswell 0x1521b47bf0c41f6b7fd3ad41cdec566812c8f23e	2.1M	446K	$428K	0.96	$18K
KARMASUR 0xf5d92058c977a9c957c6cbfbe3e9a27c83a9be50	1.7M	45K	$45K	0.99	$363
NeoWick 0xffd0dc90773fedbd065db7ab22e194492628369c	1.7M	1.7M	$1.7M	1.00	$6K
033033033 0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b	1.6M	1.6M	$1.6M	1.00	$5K
lfg321 0x7e97bd09c2ccc632fb728d91b7c37d8ec5f34d54	1.5M	1.5M	$1.5M	1.00	$4K
ScottyNooo 0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35	1.5M	1.5M	$1.2M	0.80	$293K
JAHODA 0x0e5bd76779e74304d08e759072abf126d87da593	1.4M	712K	$709K	1.00	$2K
knobro 0xd5b2ac010d2452c6497ae7eebacca60c7112e006	1.4M	1.4M	$1.4M	1.00	$5K
scout 0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3	1.3M	1.1M	$1.1M	0.99	$9K
ArmageddonRewardsBilly 0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418	1.1M	316K	$314K	0.99	$2K
debased 0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1	1.0M	583K	$581K	1.00	$2K
tsybka 0xd5ccdf772f795547e299de57f47966e24de8dea4	814K	422K	$420K	0.99	$2K
chungguskhan 0x7744bfd749a70020d16a1fcbac1d064761c9999e	762K	542K	$514K	0.95	$28K
VegemiteLover 0x2079cf38a4916c88f873f2b020bef66897248327	721K	694K	$692K	1.00	$2K
Eatpraylove 0xc02147dee42356b7a4edbb1c35ac4ffa95f61fa8	586K	213K	$164K	0.77	$49K
Flipadelphia 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319	577K	577K	$575K	1.00	$1K
VvVv 0xa9b44dca52ed35e59ac2a6f49d1203b8155464ed	547K	219K	$218K	1.00	$803

Every token held on the winning side redeems for exactly one dollar, so the gain is arithmetic rather than an estimate. A name is chosen by the account holder and never replaces the address it sits beside.

what this reading does not cover

this build does not read the oracle, so proposer and disputer are unread
holder list truncated at 100, shares are of what was returned
trade index coverage is unknown: trade index head could not be read: 429 Too Many Requests; the winning side below came from the trade log
winning side is from the trade log and omits trades under $500
more winning positions were rebuilt than were requested

check it yourself

recuse market will-trump-release-the-epstein-files-by-december-19-771
recuse winners will-trump-release-the-epstein-files-by-december-19-771 --json

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