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Xi Jinping out in 2025?

disputes: 2 rounds
lifecycle: P→D→P→D→P
phase: proposed
volume: $78.7M
bond: $500
condition id: 0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1

YES lost, 15.5M tokens went to zero

top 5 of 100 holders held 67% (10.3M of 15.5M tokens, from balances)

NO won, 6.9M tokens rebuilt from trades

top 5 of 20 wallets bought 66% (4.5M of 6.9M tokens, from cumulative buys)

they paid $6.3M and redeemed $6.9M (20 wallets read)

Balances show almost none of this. These wallets redeemed and left the book.

who bought the side that won

wallet	bought	held	paid	avg	gain
0943 0x5bffcf561bcae83af680ad600cb99f1184d6ffbe	3.0M	38K	$-42K	-1.09	$80K
scottxia1988 0x4e09ac04b37800d7643cee48642c646c1b9dd784	1.9M	1.8M	$1.7M	0.93	$132K
6yuyurrg 0x2b15b1cab8917d786e44765002a07a78ee8c9b08	1.2M	114K	$114K	0.99	$770
wkmfa518 0xddff18c9e86262e62af046d818dda0c3de6f52d6	1.2M	55K	$54K	0.99	$735
BowlOfPunch 0x889e7f0464c72eb8cda1525ebc12b6aaba9d09e0	1.1M	110K	$51K	0.46	$59K
Mr-Anderson 0x184e98eb1d39dfb9e7750e860512a9adbcbecf96	1.1M	1.1M	$1.0M	0.94	$69K
alliswell 0x1521b47bf0c41f6b7fd3ad41cdec566812c8f23e	995K	175K	$155K	0.89	$20K
MAGA 0x18badf0357161ed16a7237a3d1b30a4282a082ab	850K	5K	$-19K	-3.85	$24K
Erasmus. 0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784	710K	287K	$228K	0.79	$59K
Eatpraylove 0xc02147dee42356b7a4edbb1c35ac4ffa95f61fa8	635K	33K	$34K	1.03	$-1K
timemachinee 0xfb745c232f22c2bb9d2b66a1750c07a738601513	565K	565K	$565K	1.00	$565
expectless 0x78c66755790cce49927ed6269b70ef4354654710	542K	542K	$542K	1.00	$725
qmarktea2 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5	474K	474K	$471K	0.99	$3K
jwp9999 0xe1194d05876b71b05572c1b59bd49a157f21e30f	435K	201K	$200K	1.00	$960
onekey09 0x45b39e1f71e47fd4afe4b988ffad690b644735bc	419K	408K	$385K	0.94	$23K
uncleroger 0x0aae5c4ec45339a64a1dd2fe4ba98c2a19eb251c	415K	300K	$294K	0.98	$7K
Yeahssd 0x74416687453b92a843de6d05810d6d1a12a15ed5	410K	303K	$276K	0.91	$27K
rdba 0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8	382K	598	$-14K	-22.60	$14K
0xb9d89bef8c935082f6a86355bd9667402d92275a	379K	238K	$213K	0.89	$25K
lijialijia2020 0x2aac99d0ee5b8d95fbd48e16ce37d90bbd7f1b36	355K	104K	$95K	0.91	$9K

Every token held on the winning side redeems for exactly one dollar, so the gain is arithmetic rather than an estimate. A name is chosen by the account holder and never replaces the address it sits beside.

what this reading does not cover

this build does not read the oracle, so proposer and disputer are unread
holder list truncated at 100, shares are of what was returned
trade index coverage is unknown: trade index head could not be read: 429 Too Many Requests; the winning side below came from the trade log
winning side is from the trade log and omits trades under $5000
more winning positions were rebuilt than were requested

check it yourself

recuse market xi-jinping-out-in-2025
recuse winners xi-jinping-out-in-2025 --json

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